LIVE  PREDICTIONS

Live Conditions at Nueces County’s Horace Caldwell Pier:

 

Laguna Madre Water Temperature Prediction System for Mitigation of Cold-Water Events:

In the Laguna Madre, the longest hypersaline lagoon in the United States, the passage of cold fronts can lower air temperature by more than 10°C in less than 24 hours. This can lead to a considerable decrease in water temperature. Some of these cold-water events result in large fish kills and sea turtle cold stunning. To mitigate the impact of these cold events, local agencies, private sector companies and other stakeholders (logos below) voluntarily interrupt activities such as fishing and navigation in the Laguna Madre. To manage these interruptions and mobilize resources, accurate predictions are very helpful. The live updating graph above combines the latest air and water temperatures and predicted air temperatures in the Laguna Madre; relatively uniform water temperatures have been measured throughout the Laguna during cold events. An automated neural network predicting water temperatures is in development and will be added in 2020.

(Click on legend items to toggle on/off individual data series)

Wind speed graph available here.

Ensemble air temperature predictions from The Weather Company available here.

Data on this graph:

 

Live Water Level Measurements and Predictions:

(Click on legend items to toggle on/off individual data series)

Note: Neural net water level predictions (relatively soon) and AI inundation measurements/predictions (within a year or two) will be added to this graph (potentially alongside Dr. Fitzpatrick’s predictions) – the main graph may potentially feature past measurements (fewer days), tide predictions, and neural net predictions with the other items to be added when clicking on the legend.

 

Wave Measurements and Predictions:

(Click on legend items to toggle on/off individual data series)

Note: NWPS wave predictions to this graph will be added when available. New iterations may feature NDBC and NWPS short term predictions for a few past days, then only NWPS predictions with the other items to be added when clicking on the legend.

 

Wind Speed Measurements and Predictions:

(Click on legend items to toggle on/off individual data series)

How to read the wind predictions:

The graph above can help users find the usual wind speed and predicted windspeed perpendicular to the beach. If the wind is blowing offshore, the orange dash line will be positive. If the wind is blowing onshore, the orange dash line will be negative. The yellow dash line indicates wind predictions from the southeast when the line is positive, and from the northwest when the line is negative.

Ideal conditions for surfers:

A light offshore wind is represented by a small positive red dash line, and a zero yellow dash line represents no current.

Worrisome conditions for coastal inundation:

A strong onshore wind is represented by a very negative red dash line. In these cases of strong wind, the along shore wind/yellow dash line does not matter much when calculating wind speed.

 

Report a Problem

Please use the form below to report a problem or ask a question while browsing our models.

 

This page was created by the TAMUCC Conrad Blucher Institute team of the National Science Foundation AI2ES Institute Research, in collaboration with Nueces County Coastal Parks.